The ratio of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor predicts time to delivery and mode of birth in patients with suspected preeclampsia: a secondary analysis of the INSPIRE trial. American journal of obstetrics and gynecology BACKGROUND:The ratio of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor is a useful biomarker for preeclampsia. Since it is a measure of placental dysfunction, it could also be a predictor of clinical deterioration and fetal tolerance to intrapartum stress. OBJECTIVE:We tested the hypothesis that soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio predicts time to delivery. Secondary objectives were to examine associations between the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio and mode of birth, fetal distress, need for labor induction, and birthweight z score. STUDY DESIGN:Secondary analysis of the INSPIRE trial, a randomized interventional study on prediction of preeclampsia/eclampsia in which women with suspected preeclampsia were recruited and their blood soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio was assessed. We stratified participants into 3 groups according to the ratio result: category 1 (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ≤38); category 2 (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor >38 and <85); and category 3 (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ≥85). We modeled time from soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor determination to delivery using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared the 3 ratio categories adjusting for gestational age at soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor determination and trial arm with Cox regression. The association between ratio category and mode of delivery, induction of labor, and fetal distress was assessed using a multivariable logistic regression adjusting for gestational age at sampling and trial arm. The association between birthweight z score and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio was evaluated using multiple linear regression. Subgroup analysis was conducted in women with no preeclampsia and spontaneous onset of labor; women with preeclampsia; and participants in the nonreveal arm. RESULTS:Higher ratio categories were associated with a shorter latency from soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor determination to delivery (37 vs 13 vs 10 days for ratios categories 1-3 respectively), hazards ratio for category 3 ratio of 5.64 (95% confidence interval 4.06-7.84, P<.001). A soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio ≥85 had specificity of 92.7% (95% confidence interval 89.0%-95.1%) and sensitivity of 54.72% (95% confidence interval, 41.3-69.5) for prediction of preeclampsia indicated delivery within 2 weeks. A ratio category 3 was also associated with decreased odds of spontaneous vaginal delivery (Odds ratio [OR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval 0.25-0.89); an almost 6-fold increased risk of emergency cesarean section (OR 5.89, 95% confidence interval 3.05-11.21); and a 2-fold increased risk for intrapartum fetal distress requiring operative delivery or cesarean section (OR 3.04, 95% confidence interval 1.53-6.05) when compared to patients with ratios ≤38. Higher ratio categories were also associated with higher odds of induction of labor when compared to ratios category 1 (category 2, OR 2.20, 95% confidence interval 1.02-4.76; category 3, OR 6.0, 95% confidence interval 2.01-17.93); and lower median birthweight z score. Within subgroups of women a) without preeclampsia and with spontaneous onset of labor and b) women with preeclampsia, the log ratio was significantly higher in patients requiring intervention for fetal distress or failure to progress compared to those who delivered vaginaly without intervention. In the subset of women with no preeclampsia and spontaneous onset of labor, those who required intervention for fetal distress or failure to progress had a significantly higher log ratio than those who delivered vaginaly without needing intervention. CONCLUSION:The soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio might be helpful in risk stratification of patients who present with suspected preeclampsia regarding clinical deterioration, intrapartum fetal distress, and mode of birth (including the need for intervention in labor). 10.1016/j.ajog.2024.06.010

Validation of a new calculator for predicting success of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery. American journal of obstetrics and gynecology BACKGROUND:Race as a variable in a predictive model for a successful vaginal birth after cesarean delivery has been challenged as contributing to health inequity. In May 2022, the National Institute of Child Health and Development released a modified calculator that removed race as a variable. OBJECTIVE:The aim of this study was to externally validate the revised calculator amongst a cohort at our institution. STUDY DESIGN:We reviewed all patients who underwent a trial of labor after cesarean delivery in 2018 to 2020 at a tertiary academic medical center and calculated the predicted probability of successful vaginal birth after cesarean delivery for each patient using both original and revised classification calculators and compared these to observed birth outcomes. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated for each model. RESULTS:From the cohort of 225 patients that fit inclusion criteria, 37% (n=83) identified as African American or Hispanic, the vaginal birth after cesarean delivery success rate was 75% for the entire population, and 76% among African American and/or Hispanic patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the original calculator was 0.71, compared to 0.74 for the new calculator. For African American and/or Hispanic patients, the average predicted success rates between the models rose from 60% to 69%. CONCLUSIONS:Our review confirmed that African American and Hispanic patients were calculated to have a lower prediction score for a successful vaginal birth after cesarean delivery based on the original calculator as compared to the revised calculator. Our results also suggest that race/ethnicity did not significantly contribute to classification ability of the calculator in our patient population. 10.1016/j.ajog.2024.06.013

Early first-trimester transvaginal ultrasound screening for cesarean scar pregnancy in patients with previous cesarean delivery: analysis of the evidence. American journal of obstetrics and gynecology Obstetric hemorrhage is a leading cause of maternal morbidity and mortality. An important etiology of obstetric hemorrhage is placenta accreta spectrum. In the last 2 decades, there has been increased clinical experience of the devastating effect of undiagnosed, as well as late diagnosed, cases of cesarean scar pregnancy. There is a growing body of evidence suggesting that cesarean scar pregnancy is an early precursor of second- and third-trimester placenta accreta spectrum. As such, cesarean scar pregnancy should be diagnosed in the early first trimester. This early diagnosis could be achieved by introducing regimented sonographic screening in pregnancies of patients with previous cesarean delivery. This opinion article evaluates the scientific and clinical basis of whether cesarean scar pregnancy, with special focus on its early first-trimester discovery, complies with the accepted requirements of a screening test. Each of the 10 classical screening criteria of Wilson and Jungner were systematically applied to evaluate if the criteria were met by cesarean scar pregnancy, to analyze if it is possible and realistic to carry out screening in a population-wide fashion. 10.1016/j.ajog.2024.06.041